Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.180670 0.215542 0.254737 0.301967 0.357245 0.419799 0.495858
2025-03-30 0.130947 0.175996 0.232328 0.307564 0.404989 0.526415 0.688700
2025-04-06 0.100146 0.147387 0.211413 0.303742 0.432531 0.604706 0.850977
2025-04-13 0.079930 0.126970 0.195161 0.299939 0.455270 0.675067 1.007080
2025-04-20 0.068752 0.116667 0.190260 0.309623 0.495915 0.772374 1.209360
2025-04-27 0.063734 0.114559 0.196632 0.336094 0.563532 0.914963 1.492126
2025-05-04 0.057038 0.108283 0.195048 0.349072 0.610768 1.030559 1.744762
2025-05-11 0.048718 0.097590 0.184263 0.344803 0.628585 1.100467 1.930835
2025-05-18 0.040636 0.085811 0.169640 0.331459 0.628654 1.140201 2.069866
2025-05-25 0.033653 0.074832 0.154691 0.315135 0.620855 1.164761 2.184086
2025-06-01 0.030418 0.070788 0.152168 0.321475 0.654554 1.264301 2.437628
2025-06-08 0.025901 0.063219 0.141541 0.310495 0.654019 1.301600 2.581898
2025-06-15 0.023524 0.060126 0.139991 0.318355 0.692593 1.417988 2.889284
2025-06-22 0.021165 0.056668 0.137218 0.323454 0.726604 1.529855 3.200658
2025-06-29 0.018465 0.051848 0.130657 0.319382 0.740996 1.604591 3.446808
2025-07-06 0.016164 0.047549 0.124568 0.315391 0.754849 1.679218 3.699269
2025-07-13 0.014990 0.045967 0.124644 0.325538 0.800739 1.823852 4.107393
2025-07-20 0.014848 0.047179 0.131743 0.353269 0.889276 2.066205 4.740115
2025-07-27 0.013972 0.046143 0.132995 0.366862 0.946633 2.246647 5.256585
2025-08-03 0.012380 0.042670 0.127354 0.362391 0.960747 2.333500 5.577914
2025-08-10 0.010618 0.038284 0.118531 0.348414 0.950078 2.363607 5.776281
2025-08-17 0.008989 0.033941 0.109072 0.331313 0.929432 2.368560 5.917880
2025-08-24 0.008341 0.032704 0.108335 0.337955 0.970037 2.520412 6.410170